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Forge gives you no veto over a Confluence save. Product events arrive after the change is already committed, which means a lock on Confluence content cannot prevent anything — it can only detect and restore. Here is what that constraint does to an app: why the restore has to ignore itself, why reverting the whole page is the wrong fix, and why a licence check in a protection app must fail open.
Jira Cloud answers 303, Confluence answers 302, and an SSO-fronted Data Center answers with a login page. I measured the two Cloud cases end to end, and the failure that follows passes every audit you are likely to write.